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Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/ih/absence_of_evidence_is_evidence_of_absence/
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Aug 12, 2007 - The absence of an observation may be strong evidence of absence or very weak evidence of absence, depending on how likely the cause is to ...

Fallacies as weak Bayesian evidence - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/aq2/fallacies_as_weak_bayesian_evidence/
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Mar 18, 2012 - Arguments which provide only weak evidence, though often evidence nonetheless, are considered fallacies. As a Nefarious Scientist, Dr. Zany ...

Many Weak Arguments vs. One Relatively Strong Argument - Less ...

lesswrong.com/lw/hmb/many_weak_arguments_vs_one_relatively_strong/
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Jun 4, 2013 - However, there always will be a lot of weak evidence (at various values ... In practice, it's often the case that all we have is weak evidence — the ...

Weak supporting evidence can undermine belief - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/7va/weak_supporting_evidence_can_undermine_belief/
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Sep 29, 2011 - Article: Weak supporting evidence can undermine belief in an outcome Defying logic, people given weak evidence can regard predictions ...

What is Evidence? - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/jl/what_is_evidence/
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Sep 22, 2007 - Had a black cat not crossed my path, I would consider that evidence (weak evidence) that I was not about to experience misfortune.".

Evidence For Simulation - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/9lq/evidence_for_simulation/
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Jan 27, 2012 - Still, this is probably weak evidence for simulation as such non-computable behavior might well exist in the simulating universe but be ...

Weak evidence that eating vegetables makes you live longer - Less ...

lesswrong.com/lw/hoh/weak_evidence_that_eating_vegetables_makes_you/
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Jun 10, 2013 - People vary in how much they can taste bitter things. If you go around giving people the chemical Phenylthiocarbamide (PTC), which you ...

Knowledge value = knowledge quality × domain importance - Less ...

lesswrong.com/lw/bs0/knowledge_value_knowledge_quality_domain/
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Apr 16, 2012 - Anecdotes do count as evidence, they are just weak evidence. And well designed scientific studies constitute stronger evidence then poorly ...

Personal Evidence - Superstitions as Rational Beliefs - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/h1h/personal_evidence_superstitions_as_rational/
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Mar 22, 2013 - Maybe EMFs subtly messing with my brain (there is some weak evidence for the idea that electromagnetic fluctuations can induce metabolic ...

Conservation of Expected Evidence - Less Wrong

lesswrong.com/lw/ii/conservation_of_expected_evidence/
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Aug 13, 2007 - If you expect a strong probability of seeing weak evidence in one direction, it must be balanced by a weak expectation of seeing strong ...

Searches related to "weak evidence" site:lesswrong.com

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